Turkish lira hits record low after Azerbaijan-Armenia clashes erupt

Turkey’s lira hit an all-time low against the
dollar after the country became embroiled in a latest regional conflict, this
time between Azerbaijan and Armenia.
The lira fell 2.1 percent to 7.819 per dollar,
taking losses this year to 24 percent. It traded weaker than 10 against the
British pound, hitting double figures for the first time since the government
wiped six zeroes off the currency in 2004
Turkey has deployed military hardware including
F-16 fighter aircraft to Azerbaijan ahead of the latest military clashes with
Armenia over the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh, a majority Armenian
region within Azerbaijan’s borders. The lira is also falling after financial
institutions including Goldman Sachs said the time was not right to invest in
emerging market currencies.
“The fear is that Turkey, whose economy is on
its knees and is actively engaged in escalating conflicts in northern Syria,
and with Greece in the Mediterranean, could get dragged into yet another
regional conflict it can ill afford, either politically or economically,” said
Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at Oanda in Singapore, according to
Bloomberg.
Turkey has deployed its military to fight
Kurdish militants allied with the United States in Syria, sent its navy to
protect drill ships near Greek islands in the eastern Mediterranean and is
supplying military hardware and know-how to the government in Tripoli, Libya
against an opposition army backed by Russia and Egypt.
The Turkish central bank unexpectedly increased
its benchmark interest rate by 2 percentage points to 10.25 percent last week
to help defend the lira, which investors have sold on concerns for economic
instability as the government fuelled growth with a flood of cheap lending from
state-run banks.
Turkey is an historical ally of Azerbaijan,
with which it shares close cultural and language ties. The Azeri and Armenian
militaries clashed on Sunday with Armenia saying it was responding to missile
attacks from Azerbaijan. The two countries fought a war over the region in
1994. The conflict ended with a Russian-brokered ceasefire, which the two
countries have undermined by skirmishes on several occasions since.
International banks including Goldman Sachs and
Deutsche Bank are taking a risk-off approach to high-yielding emerging market
assets such as the lira, citing expected volatility over U.S. elections. Turkey
suffered a currency crisis in 2018 and some investors are concerned that it
will be repeated.
On Monday, Turkey's banking watchdog loosened
banks' asset ratio requirements, in place since April to coerce banks into
lending more to the economy and to buy government debt. The ratio was lowered
to 90 percent from a previous 95 percent.