Baghuz liberation raises questions about fate of IS

Questions about the fate of the Islamic State (IS) group always emerge every time the group loses a new territory.
The eastern Syrian
village of Baghuz was the last territory under IS control. The loss of the
village means that IS is coming close to its final defeat.
Around 3,000 IS
militants and their families had surrendered to Syrian Democratic Forces, which
are widely known as QSD, on March 12.
The forces say they
will launch a new operation to kill IS remnants who refuse to lay down their
arms and insist on fighting to the end.
The US-led coalition
against IS estimates the number of remaining IS fighters inside the village at
a few hundreds. Syrian Democratic Forces estimate the number to be at 500.
A large number of those remaining reportedly
prefer surrender in return for allowing them to exit Baghuz together with their
family members.
Nonetheless, IS continues to produce videos and
media materials to encourage its fighters to keep fighting.
Around 60,000 IS elements have reportedly left
the IS IS
strongholds
east of the Euphrates since December 2018.
Post-Baghuz
liberation period
QSD spokesman Keno Djibril said the
operation in Baghuz is over or is almost over, but it takes more time to
complete on the ground.
He added in a statement that by losing its last
stronghold, IS is moving towards its end.
The Washington Post ran a report recently on
the fate of IS after Baghuz. It said the terrorist organization would not come
to total end, even with the loss of its last stronghold.
The internet, the newspaper said, continues to
be an IS bastion that it would continue to be in control of for a long time.
Retired army general Emad Alw, who advises the European
Center for Counterterrorism and Intelligence Studies, says IS remnants continue
to be in a large number of Syrian territories.
He adds in a study titled, "Beyond Baghuz:
the next phase of the war", these remnants are able to find hiding in the
Syrian desert using
the geography of these areas to stay away from forces fighting them.
This desert is a fertile ground for IS to seek
hiding and escape the watch of the international coalition fighting it.
He explained that the organization already has
a number of camps and settlements in the desert of Western Badia.
Alw pointed out that those fleeing Syria to
Iraq will find broad welcome and opportunities to work within these bases.
Alw's study supported the possibility that the
coming period will see the emergence new desert wars. It says regular armies,
including the Iraqi army would find difficulty tracking elements of IS.
This, it says, does not mean that the
organization is going through a good stage.